Back

AUD/USD retreats from one-week highs, back closer to mid-0.7800s

The AUD/USD pair extended previous session's recovery move from 2-1/2 month lows and touched a one-week high level of 0.7875, before retreating few pips. 

A modest US Dollar retracement, primarily led by some profit taking amid absent top tier economic releases on Tuesday, helped the pair to rebound from the vicinity of 100-day SMA important support. 

Adding to this, a mildly softer tone around the US Treasury bond yields provided an additional boost to higher-yielding currencies and collaborated to the pair's tepid recovery move for the second straight session.

However, growing market expectations that the Fed would raise interest rates for the third time in December, coupled with optimism over US tax reform might now contribute towards keeping a lid on any sharp near-term up-move. 

   •  US: Fed prepares market for rate rise – HSBC

Today's US economic docket, featuring the release of ADP report and ISM non-manufacturing PMI would now be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities. 

Later during the NY trading session, the Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech might also provide some impetus ahead of Australian macro data - monthly retail sales and trade balance data, due for release during early Asian session on Thursday.

   •  Australia’s retail sales to show the first negative outcome since March - ANZ

Technical levels to watch

A follow through retracement below 0.7830 immediate support is likely to drag the pair back below the 0.7800 handle towards 100-day SMA support, currently near the 0.7775 region.

On the upside, momentum beyond 0.7870-75 area could get extended towards the 0.7900 handle, above which a bout of short-covering is likely to lift the pair further towards 50-day SMA hurdle near the 0.7935 region.

FX option expiries for Oct 4 NY cut

FX option expiries for Oct 4 NY cut at 10:00 Easter Time, via DTCC, can be found below. EUR/USD: $1.1800 (E206mn) USD/JPY: Y113.80 ($490mn), Y111.00
Baca lagi Previous

UK: A hawkish shift – HSBC

Analysts at HSBC explain that although Brexit was firmly on the agenda, it was the hawkish BoE that was most influential and their change in tone mean
Baca lagi Next